Friday, July 14, 2006
Another Skewed Poll- 'Americans Want Democrats in Power'
-By Warner Todd Huston
Why anyone ever bothers using an AP/Ipsos poll result to "prove" anything is beyond me. It has been well documented by multiple sources that this France based polling company habitually over samples Democrats in their polls and this particular poll is no different.
But, here is the AP wire headline screaming that "Americans want Democrats in Power" in their latest poll.
So, what was the sampling numbers for THIS one?
According to the AP/Ipsos site they over sampled Democrats...again.
Registered Voters polled:
Strongly Republican - 17
Moderately Republican - 25
Definitely independent or neither - 5
Moderately Democrat - 32
Strongly Democrat - 21
_____________
Total Republican - 41
Total Democrat - 53
Looks to me like they gave the Democrats a 12% advantage in the sampling. Yet the actual results resulted in only an 11% higher Democrat reading!
Wouldn't that be a 1% Republican gain? (hat tip sweetness and ligh)
Jut another ho-hum day in the MSM
Why anyone ever bothers using an AP/Ipsos poll result to "prove" anything is beyond me. It has been well documented by multiple sources that this France based polling company habitually over samples Democrats in their polls and this particular poll is no different.
But, here is the AP wire headline screaming that "Americans want Democrats in Power" in their latest poll.
WASHINGTON - Republicans are in jeopardy of losing their grip on Congress in November. With less than four months to the midterm elections, the latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll found that Americans by an almost 3-to-1 margin hold the GOP-controlled Congress in low regard and profess a desire to see Democrats wrest control after a dozen years of Republican rule.
So, what was the sampling numbers for THIS one?
According to the AP/Ipsos site they over sampled Democrats...again.
Registered Voters polled:
Strongly Republican - 17
Moderately Republican - 25
Definitely independent or neither - 5
Moderately Democrat - 32
Strongly Democrat - 21
_____________
Total Republican - 41
Total Democrat - 53
Looks to me like they gave the Democrats a 12% advantage in the sampling. Yet the actual results resulted in only an 11% higher Democrat reading!
Wouldn't that be a 1% Republican gain? (hat tip sweetness and ligh)
Jut another ho-hum day in the MSM
# posted by Publius @ 7/14/2006 02:20:00 PM 
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I've been harping about polls forever. Only the Democrats believe them, which only makes it funnier when they lose and say, "waaaaah, but the polls said...."
Keep blogging!
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Keep blogging!
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